P
Pulsafi
Home / Market Today

Today's Market Pulse

Latest close · Monday, October 19, 2026 · Updated 5:11 PM EDT. What moved, how unusual it was, and what it means for your money.

The story todayMarket mood: Normal · VIX 18.4

Stocks edge higher as growth sectors lead

The S&P 500 rose 0.41% to 7,690.73, a fairly typical move. Elsewhere, the Nasdaq rose 1.11% and the Dow fell 0.07%.

3 of 11 sectors were higher. Consumer discretionary (+1.78%) led and utilities (−2.01%) lagged.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 4 basis points to 5.14%.

Stocks and yields rising together usually reflects optimism about economic growth.

Zooming out, the S&P 500 is up 12.3% this year and 1.6% below its Oct 6 high.

S&P 500
7,690.73
+0.41%
Nasdaq
26,430.89
+1.11%
Dow
51,966.03
−0.07%
10-yr yield
5.14%
+4 bp
Bitcoin
$81,953
−0.08%

What stands out

The most unusual moves across markets right now, ranked by how far they are from normal.

Sectors

Risk-on

Growth and economically sensitive sectors beat defensive ones by 1.2 points on average, led by consumer discretionary (+1.78%) and technology (+1.36%). That usually reflects confidence about the economy. Worst: utilities (−2.01%).

Stocks

Small caps behind the S&P by 5.1 points this month

Russell 2000 −4.6% vs. S&P 500 +0.5% over the past month. Small companies lean more on borrowing and the US economy, so they're more sensitive to interest rates and growth worries.

Commodities

Oil up 71% this year

WTI crude has gone from about $57 to $98.24 a barrel since January. That's roughly 98¢ a gallon more at the pump, all else equal.

Crypto

Bitcoin 28% below its 52-week high

It peaked at $114,472 on Oct 25, 2025 and now trades at $81,953. Drawdowns this deep are routine for crypto.

Is today's move normal?

The S&P 500's +0.41% move was smaller than on 57% of trading days in the past year. A typical day moves it about ±0.8%.

Today +0.41%
−3%0%+3%
Daily moves, past year Today A typical day (±0.8%)

Sectors: risk-on

Growth and economically sensitive sectors beat defensive ones by 1.2 points on average, led by consumer discretionary (+1.78%) and technology (+1.36%). That usually reflects confidence about the economy.

Consumer discretionaryDiscretionary
+1.78%
Technology
+1.36%
Materials
+0.06%
Communication servicesComm. services
−0.21%
Consumer staplesStaples
−0.47%
Health care
−0.60%
Industrials
−0.64%
Energy
−0.64%
Financials
−0.83%
Real estate
−1.16%
Utilities
−2.01%

What it means for your money

Today's numbers translated into dollars, using round example amounts.

Investing

$10,000 in an S&P 500 index fund

Latest session
+$41
Past month
+$53
This year
+$1,235
Past 12 months
+$1,419

A typical day moves it by about ±$80. Price change only; dividends add a bit more. See the long-term view →

Borrowing

30-year mortgage: 7.40%

Freddie Mac weekly average, October 15, 2026

On a $400,000 loan that's $2,770/mo in principal and interest, +$294/mo vs. a year ago at 6.30%. The 10-year yield has barely moved since that survey, so next week's reading is likely to be similar.

Mortgage calculator →

Saving

$10,000 in savings, for a year

Average bank (0.38%)
$38
Near T-bill rate (4.07%)
$407

With inflation at 3.7%, the average account loses about $332 of buying power a year. Top high-yield accounts and money market funds usually pay close to the T-bill rate. High-yield savings by state →

All the numbers

Stock and commodity moves are in percent. Treasury yield moves are in basis points (1 bp = 0.01 percentage point). The range bar shows where each sits between its 52-week low and high.

Market indices, yields, commodities and crypto with daily, one-month and year-to-date changes
MarketLastDay1 monthThis year52-week range3 months
Stocks
S&P 500
500 largest US companies
7,690.73+0.41%+0.53%+12.35%
S&P 500, past 3 months: +3.32%
Dow Jones
30 blue-chip stocks
51,966.03−0.07%+0.55%+8.12%
Dow Jones, past 3 months: +0.24%
Nasdaq
Tech-heavy
26,430.89+1.11%−0.35%+13.72%
Nasdaq, past 3 months: +3.62%
Russell 2000
Small companies
2,728.30+0.25%−4.62%+9.93%
Russell 2000, past 3 months: −7.28%
VIX
The market's fear gauge
18.44−7.75%+24.51%+23.34%
VIX, past 3 months: −1.13%
Treasury yields
3-month T-bill
Tracks what cash and top savings accounts pay
4.07%0 bp+10 bp+53 bp
3-month T-bill, past 3 months: +37 bp
10-year Treasury
Sets the tone for mortgage rates
5.14%+4 bp+14 bp+97 bp
10-year Treasury, past 3 months: +54 bp
30-year Treasury
Long-term government debt
5.47%+4 bp+14 bp+63 bp
30-year Treasury, past 3 months: +35 bp
Commodities & dollar
Gold
Per troy ounce, front-month futures
$4,160−0.50%−5.98%−4.16%
Gold, past 3 months: +3.60%
Oil (WTI)
Per barrel, front-month futures
$98.24−3.13%−2.05%+71.09%
Oil (WTI), past 3 months: +18.03%
US dollar index
Dollar vs. six major currencies
101.98+0.14%+1.76%+3.76%
US dollar index, past 3 months: +0.98%
Crypto
Bitcoin
Trades 24/7; day change since midnight UTC
$81,953−0.08%+0.89%−7.64%
Bitcoin, past 3 months: +25.64%
Ethereum
Trades 24/7; day change since midnight UTC
$2,401−0.32%−8.78%−19.98%
Ethereum, past 3 months: +26.12%

Borrowing & savings benchmarks

Official rates from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). Mortgages are Freddie Mac's weekly survey; the others update daily or monthly. CPI inflation is running 3.7% year over year.

RateLatestChangeYear agoWhat it affects
30-year fixed mortgage
October 15, 2026
7.40%0 bp6.30%Home purchase loans
15-year fixed mortgage
October 15, 2026
6.71%−2 bp5.53%Shorter home loans and refinances
Fed funds (effective)
October 15, 2026
3.88%0 bp4.10%The Fed's policy rate; drives savings APYs
Prime rate
October 13, 2026
7.00%0 bp7.25%Base for HELOCs and credit cards
1-year Treasury
October 15, 2026
4.49%−4 bp3.61%Benchmark for CDs
Avg. savings account (FDIC)
October 1, 2026
0.38%+1 bp0.40%What the typical bank pays
Avg. 12-month CD (FDIC)
October 1, 2026
1.76%+3 bp1.68%National average, not the best available

Want the best rates rather than averages? See mortgage rates by state, high-yield savings by state, and CD rates by state.

Keep exploring

How this page works: The story and takeaways are written automatically from the numbers on this page using fixed rules. They describe what moved and how unusual it was compared with the past year; they don't guess at news-driven causes. Sources: Stocks, sector ETFs, Treasury yields, commodities, the dollar and crypto from Yahoo Finance (quotes may be delayed 15–20 minutes). Mortgage, Fed funds, prime, savings, CD and CPI data from FRED. Sectors are the 11 S&P 500 sector SPDR ETFs. Page refreshed at 5:11 PM EDT. Informational only, not financial advice. See our terms.